CPA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CPA - Copa Holdings, S.A.
$131.72
-3.79 (-2.80%)
▼
5d:
+7.26%
30d:
+11.24%
90d:
-9.7%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 13, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When CPA Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: CPA is 7.3% above its trading range ($122.77). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: CPA is 7.3% above its trading range ($122.77). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$250.05
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$155.26
15.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CPA is currently trading at $131.72, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $113.97 to $122.77. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.8) is in line with its historical norms (6.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPA is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $110.95, while resistance sits at $136.00.
Market Sentiment: CPA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $160.33 (+21.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPA is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $110.95, while resistance sits at $136.00.
Market Sentiment: CPA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $160.33 (+21.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$113.97 -
$122.77
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.3% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.7% below Wall St target ($160.33)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$113.97 -
$122.77
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$110.95
Resistance Level
$136.00
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.77
Wall Street Target
$160.33
(+21.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
5.3%
Profit Margin
18.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
6.8 vs 6.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$132.64
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$133.57
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$134.51
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$131.12
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 34.2%)
$1037.96
(+688%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.8, Growth: 34.2%)
$318.42
(+142%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.8, Growth: 34.2%)
$270.66
(+106%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.33 | Current EPS (TTM): $16.27
Bull Case
$178.24
(+35%)
Analyst growth 19.6%, PE expands to 9.2
Base Case
$162.04
(+23%)
Market implied 19.6%, PE stable at 8.3
Bear Case
$92.15
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 8:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:16 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:16 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is CPA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Airlines Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Airlines by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
UAL
United Airlines Holdings… |
STRONG BUY
25 analysts |
$130 | 56 HOLD |
|
DAL
Delta Air Lines Inc |
STRONG BUY
24 analysts |
$80 | 53 HOLD |
|
AAL
American Airlines Group |
BUY
24 analysts |
$15 | 59 HOLD |
|
ALK
Alaska Air Group Inc |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$58 | 57 HOLD |
|
LUV
Southwest Airlines Compa… |
SELL
24 analysts |
$45 | 53 HOLD |
