DHI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DHI - D.R. Horton Inc.
$158.57
1.51 (0.96%)
▲
5d:
-5.02%
30d:
+7.21%
90d:
+14.7%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 21, 2026
15d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DHI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: DHI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$225.64
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$140.11
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DHI is currently trading at $158.57, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $146.39 to $160.70. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.2) is in line with its historical norms (12.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DHI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $151.89. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DHI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $151.89. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$146.39 -
$160.70
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding DHI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($168.23)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.5% growth with -2.3% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.0% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$146.39 -
$160.70
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$143.63
Resistance Level
$151.89
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.16
Wall Street Target
$168.23
(+6.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-13.2%
Profit Margin
9.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.5% premium
PE vs Historical
13.2 vs 12.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$162.53
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$166.60
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$170.76
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$158.35
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 14.0%)
$389.02
(+145%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.2, Growth: 14.0%)
$234.99
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.2, Growth: 14.0%)
$199.74
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.75 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.65
Bull Case
$195.52
(+23%)
Analyst growth 13.2%, PE expands to 16.2
Base Case
$177.74
(+12%)
Market implied 13.2%, PE stable at 14.8
Bear Case
$106.80
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 10:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:05 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:05 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DHI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
3
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
Aron M Odom
SELL
260 shares
2026-02-13
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