DHI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DHI - D.R. Horton Inc.
$135.39
-3.97 (-2.85%)
▼
5d:
-8.29%
30d:
-5.55%
90d:
-19.31%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 21, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
DHI is down 3.6% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $165 2026-06-18 with 1,342 OI. Call ratio: 63% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.1/10
Get Alerted When DHI Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DHI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: DHI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$223.32
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$138.66
2.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DHI is currently trading at $135.39, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $140.58 to $155.64. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.2) is in line with its historical norms (12.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DHI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $134.89. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $165.29 (+22.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DHI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $134.89. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $165.29 (+22.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$140.58 -
$155.64
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding DHI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.1% below Wall St target ($165.29)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.3% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$140.58 -
$155.64
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$134.89
Resistance Level
$152.80
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.23
Wall Street Target
$165.29
(+22.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-13.2%
Profit Margin
9.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.2 vs 12.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$132.01
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$128.71
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$125.49
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→12)
$135.18
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 13.9%)
$393.55
(+191%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.2, Growth: 13.9%)
$200.29
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.5, Growth: 13.9%)
$170.25
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.65
Bull Case
$173.50
(+28%)
Analyst growth 13.2%, PE expands to 14.4
Base Case
$157.73
(+17%)
Market implied 13.2%, PE stable at 13.1
Bear Case
$94.76
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.2 to 12.1
Stabilization Target:
$145.85
(+7.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 3:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:49 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is DHI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
3
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
Aron M Odom
SELL
260 shares
2026-02-13
Top Rated Residential Construction Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Residential Construction by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
TOL
Toll Brothers Inc |
BUY
19 analysts |
$168 | 49 HOLD |
|
PHM
PulteGroup Inc |
BUY
17 analysts |
$138 | 54 HOLD |
|
TMHC
Taylor Morn Home |
STRONG BUY
10 analysts |
$70 | 57 HOLD |
|
LEN
Lennar Corporation |
SELL
21 analysts |
$92 | 51 HOLD |
|
TPH
TRI Pointe Homes Inc |
STRONG BUY
6 analysts |
$47 | 53 HOLD |
Advanced DHI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DHI price and gamma walls.
