DY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DY - Dycom Industries, Inc.
$438.67
-12.31 (-2.73%)
▼
5d:
+2.42%
30d:
+9.56%
90d:
+2.62%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 20, 2026
4d
Smart Money Accumulation
DY is down 6.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $430 2026-06-18 with 222 OI. Call ratio: 81% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$625.98
Based on 13.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$388.69
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DY is currently trading at $438.67, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $386.01 to $437.63. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 33.1) compared to its historical average (29.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DY is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $409.46, while resistance sits at $464.82.
Market Sentiment: DY has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DY is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $409.46, while resistance sits at $464.82.
Market Sentiment: DY has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$386.01 -
$437.63
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
44th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.3%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 44th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($473.82)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.8% growth with 34.4% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$386.01 -
$437.63
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$41.18
(9.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$409.46
Resistance Level
$464.82
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
33.13
Wall Street Target
$473.82
(+5.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
34.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-50.7%
Profit Margin
5.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.8% premium
PE vs Historical
33.1 vs 29.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$468.12
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$485.91
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$504.37
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 33→30)
PE COMPRESSION
$450.60
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 33.1, Growth: 22.3%)
$825.59
(+83%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 22.3%)
$549.19
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: 22.3%)
$466.81
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (47x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (33x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 46.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.56
Bull Case
$696.66
(+55%)
Analyst growth 42.4%, PE expands to 51.2
Base Case
$633.32
(+40%)
Market implied 42.4%, PE stable at 46.5
Bear Case
$302.47
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 39.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 11:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:00 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:00 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Eitan Gertel
SELL
3645 shares
2026-01-09
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Advanced DY Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DY price and gamma walls.
