FLR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FLR - Fluor Corporation
$45.12
-0.38 (-0.82%)
▼
5d:
+4.17%
30d:
-5.77%
90d:
-0.8%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 08, 2026
0d
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1 traders called FLR this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FLR appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -5.3% annual earnings decline despite 1427% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FLR appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -5.3% annual earnings decline despite 1427% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$98.89
Based on 13.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$61.41
26.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FLR is currently trading at $45.12, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $46.06 to $51.75. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.2) compared to its historical average (16.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1426.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FLR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $42.62, while resistance sits at $54.65.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.31 (+12.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FLR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $42.62, while resistance sits at $54.65.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.31 (+12.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$46.06 -
$51.75
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($51.31)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$46.06 -
$51.75
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$42.62
Resistance Level
$54.65
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.16
Wall Street Target
$51.31
(+12.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1426.8%
Profit Margin
2.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.2 vs 16.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$43.08
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$40.80
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$38.63
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→17)
$45.56
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 22.4%)
$129.71
(+185%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.2, Growth: 22.4%)
$83.34
(+83%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.0, Growth: 22.4%)
$70.84
(+56%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.38 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.21
Bull Case
$72.00
(+58%)
Analyst growth 45.4%, PE expands to 22.4
Base Case
$65.45
(+44%)
Market implied 45.4%, PE stable at 20.4
Bear Case
$30.62
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.2 to 16.7
Stabilization Target:
$53.65
(+17.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 11:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:00 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:00 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FLR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Anthony Morgan
SELL
3387 shares
2026-02-23
Michael E Alexander
SELL
3387 shares
2026-02-23
Kevin B Hammonds
SELL
2988 shares
2026-02-20
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