FLR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FLR - Fluor Corporation

HEAVY CONSTRUCTION OTHER THAN BLDG CONST - CONTRACTORS
$45.12
-0.38 (-0.82%) ▼
5d: +4.17%
30d: -5.77%
90d: -0.8%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 08, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FLR appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -5.3% annual earnings decline despite 1427% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$98.89
Based on 13.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$61.41
26.5% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FLR is currently trading at $45.12, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $46.06 to $51.75. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.2) compared to its historical average (16.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1426.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FLR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $42.62, while resistance sits at $54.65.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.31 (+12.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $46.06 - $51.75
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 77.1%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($51.31)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $46.06 - $51.75
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $42.62
Resistance Level $54.65
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of May 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.16
Wall Street Target $51.31 (+12.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -8.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 1426.8%
Profit Margin 2.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -5.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 14.2 vs 16.7 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -5.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $43.08 (-5%)
2-Year Target $40.80 (-10%)
3-Year Target $38.63 (-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→17) $45.56 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.0, Growth: 22.4%) $129.71 (+185%)
Base: (SPY PE: 14.2, Growth: 22.4%) $83.34 (+83%)
Bear: (PE: 12.0, Growth: 22.4%) $70.84 (+56%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.38 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.21
Bull Case $72.00 (+58%)
Analyst growth 45.4%, PE expands to 22.4
Base Case $65.45 (+44%)
Market implied 45.4%, PE stable at 20.4
Bear Case $30.62 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.2 to 16.7
Stabilization Target: $53.65 (+17.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +17.9%
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Last updated: May 15, 2026 11:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:00 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Anthony Morgan SELL 3387 shares 2026-02-23
Michael E Alexander SELL 3387 shares 2026-02-23
Kevin B Hammonds SELL 2988 shares 2026-02-20

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