FNKO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FNKO - Funko, Inc. Class A Common Stock

GAMES, TOYS & CHILDREN'S VEHICLES (NO DOLLS & BICYCLES)
$5.11
-0.13 (-2.48%) ▼
5d: +14.57%
30d: +28.72%
90d: +41.94%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your FNKO Gains
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026 0d
Smart Money Distribution

FNKO is up 6.6% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $2.5 2026-06-18 with 72 OI. Put ratio: 75% View Scanner →

Strength: 5.8/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: FNKO is 9.0% above its trading range ($4.69). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.71
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.79
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FNKO is currently trading at $5.11, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.71 to $4.69. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 23.2) compared to its historical average (40.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 17.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FNKO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.23, while resistance sits at $6.09.

Market Sentiment: FNKO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.50 (+27.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $3.71 - $4.69
Company Quality Score 60/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 57.1%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+9.0% above its trading range)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 27.2% below Wall St target ($6.50)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $3.71 - $4.69
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $4.23
Resistance Level $6.09
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of May 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 23.23
Wall Street Target $6.50 (+27.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 5.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -79.4%
Profit Margin -6.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -17.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical 23.2 vs 40.9 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -17.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $4.60 (-10%)
2-Year Target $4.14 (-19%)
3-Year Target $3.73 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 23→41) $6.56 (+28%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.2 to 40.9
Stabilization Target: $9.00 (+76.1%)
PE Expansion Potential: +76.1%
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Last updated: May 14, 2026 6:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:29 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
11
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Tracy D Daw SELL 12793 shares 2026-03-18
Andrew David Oddie SELL 6250 shares 2026-03-16
Husnal Shah SELL 3651 shares 2026-03-16

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Advanced FNKO Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FNKO price and gamma walls.

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