FORM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FORM - FormFactor Inc.

SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES
$126.42
-1.57 (-1.23%) β–Ό
5d: -14.51%
30d: -0.99%
90d: +30.69%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026 0d
Smart Money Accumulation

FORM is down 14.6% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $155 2026-07-17 with 2,236 OI. Call ratio: 75% View Scanner →

Strength: 9.8/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: FORM is down 14.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction β†’

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$107.57
Based on 9.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$66.79
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FORM is currently trading at $126.42, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $122.18 to $146.75. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 46.0) is in line with its historical norms (45.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FORM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $119.30, while resistance sits at $157.63.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $142.44 (+11.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $122.18 - $146.75
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 78.1%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($142.44)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -14.5% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $122.18 - $146.75
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $119.30
Resistance Level $157.63
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of May 15, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 45.96
Wall Street Target $142.44 (+11.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 32.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 225.0%
Profit Margin 8.1%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.3% premium
PE vs Historical 46.0 vs 45.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $128.37 (+0%)
2-Year Target $128.76 (+1%)
3-Year Target $129.15 (+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 46β†’46) PE COMPRESSION $127.86 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 46.0, Growth: 14.3%) $191.00 (+49%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 14.3%) $91.60 (-28%)
Bear: (PE: 18.7, Growth: 14.3%) $77.86 (-39%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (71x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (46x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 70.92 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.80
Bull Case $154.55 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 74.5
Base Case $127.99 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 70.9
Bear Case $97.91 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 63.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: May 15, 2026 3:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:25 PM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
17
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Mike Slessor SELL 11294 shares 2026-04-15
Mike Slessor SELL 10227 shares 2026-03-18
Aric Brendan Mckinnis SELL 3462 shares 2026-03-05

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