ICE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ICE - Intercontinental Exchange Inc.
$155.72
0.92 (0.59%)
▲
5d:
-0.25%
30d:
-5.66%
90d:
+3.93%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ICE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ICE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$233.88
Based on 6.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$145.22
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ICE is currently trading at $155.72, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $155.26 to $163.15. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.7) compared to its historical average (19.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 79.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICE is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $152.35. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ICE has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $200.67 (+28.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICE is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $152.35. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ICE has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $200.67 (+28.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$155.26 -
$163.15
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.9% below Wall St target ($200.67)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$155.26 -
$163.15
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$152.35
Resistance Level
$161.00
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.72
Wall Street Target
$200.67
(+28.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
79.7%
Profit Margin
37.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.7 vs 19.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$149.80
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$144.11
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$138.63
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→20)
$155.66
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 8.0%)
$243.78
(+57%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.7, Growth: 8.0%)
$196.03
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.1, Growth: 8.0%)
$166.63
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.87
Bull Case
$217.78
(+40%)
Analyst growth 27.9%, PE expands to 24.8
Base Case
$197.98
(+27%)
Market implied 27.9%, PE stable at 22.5
Bear Case
$105.26
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.7 to 19.9
Stabilization Target:
$174.85
(+12.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 9:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:37 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:37 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ICE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
6
Buys
14
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-10
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