KBR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

KBR - KBR, Inc.

HEAVY CONSTRUCTION OTHER THAN BLDG CONST - CONTRACTORS
$30.22
-0.66 (-2.14%) ▼
5d: -7.13%
30d: -17.63%
90d: -26.83%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: KBR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$49.92
Based on 4.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.00
2.5% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: KBR is currently trading at $30.22, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.55 to $37.82. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.4) compared to its historical average (9.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, KBR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $30.41. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.62 (+57.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $33.55 - $37.82
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 57.5% below Wall St target ($48.62)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.1% 5-day decline

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $33.55 - $37.82
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $30.42
Resistance Level $39.07
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of May 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 7.40
Wall Street Target $48.63 (+57.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -4.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -8.7%
Profit Margin 5.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -8.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 7.4 vs 9.6 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -8.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $28.32 (-8%)
2-Year Target $25.97 (-16%)
3-Year Target $23.81 (-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 7→10) $30.89 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.0, Growth: 5.0%) $106.55 (+245%)
Base: (SPY PE: 7.4, Growth: 5.0%) $35.77 (+16%)
Bear: (PE: 6.3, Growth: 5.0%) $30.41 (-2%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.39
Bull Case $41.30 (+34%)
Analyst growth 23.1%, PE expands to 9.9
Base Case $37.54 (+22%)
Market implied 23.1%, PE stable at 9.0
Bear Case $20.74 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.4 to 9.6
Stabilization Target: $40.06 (+29.7%)
PE Expansion Potential: +29.7%
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Last updated: May 15, 2026 11:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:00 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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