LSTR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LSTR - Landstar System Inc
$176.04
8.09 (4.82%)
▲
5d:
-4.01%
30d:
+2.68%
90d:
+23.66%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 28, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LSTR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LSTR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$337.63
Based on 14.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$209.64
16.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LSTR is currently trading at $176.04, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $169.94 to $181.67. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 25.1) is in line with its historical norms (25.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LSTR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $162.11, while resistance sits at $184.38. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LSTR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $162.11, while resistance sits at $184.38. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$169.94 -
$181.67
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.8%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($174.86)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$169.94 -
$181.67
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$162.11
Resistance Level
$184.38
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.12
Wall Street Target
$174.86
(-0.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
36.9%
Profit Margin
2.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.1% premium
PE vs Historical
25.1 vs 25.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$176.22
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$176.39
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$176.57
(+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→25)
PE COMPRESSION
$175.73
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.1, Growth: 24.5%)
$340.04
(+93%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 24.5%)
$298.76
(+70%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.8, Growth: 24.5%)
$253.95
(+44%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (47x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 46.52 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.61
Bull Case
$358.65
(+104%)
Analyst growth 94.1%, PE expands to 51.2
Base Case
$326.04
(+85%)
Market implied 94.1%, PE stable at 46.5
Bear Case
$114.21
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 39.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 11:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:30 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:30 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LSTR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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