MBI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MBI - MBIA Inc.
$5.86
-0.17 (-2.82%)
▼
5d:
+2.63%
30d:
-3.14%
90d:
-2.98%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 11, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
MBI is up 4.0% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $6 2026-06-18 with 203 OI. Put ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 7.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MBI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MBI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MBI is currently trading at $5.86, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.82 to $6.14.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MBI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $5.56, while resistance sits at $6.46.
Market Sentiment: MBI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (25th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.25 (+23.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MBI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $5.56, while resistance sits at $6.46.
Market Sentiment: MBI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (25th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.25 (+23.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$5.82 -
$6.14
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
25th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
95.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 25th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.7% below Wall St target ($7.25)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.82 -
$6.14
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.50
(8.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.56
Resistance Level
$6.47
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
-13.95
Wall Street Target
$7.25
(+23.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.8%
Profit Margin
-158.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 1:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:32 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MBI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced MBI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MBI price and gamma walls.
