NUE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NUE - Nucor Corporation
$232.85
0.51 (0.22%)
▲
5d:
+2.71%
30d:
+22.81%
90d:
+23.33%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 27, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NUE is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: NUE is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$279.97
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$173.84
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NUE is currently trading at $232.85, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $188.66 to $228.07. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.0) is in line with its historical norms (13.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NUE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $235.45. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NUE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $235.45. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$188.66 -
$228.07
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.1%
Protect Your Profits
NUE is technically overbought (RSI 74). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($240.71)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$188.66 -
$228.07
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$222.79
Resistance Level
$235.45
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.96
Wall Street Target
$240.71
(+3.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
382.1%
Profit Margin
6.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.8% premium
PE vs Historical
15.0 vs 13.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$239.37
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$246.07
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$252.96
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$233.32
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 6.9%)
$418.53
(+80%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.0, Growth: 6.9%)
$284.11
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.7, Growth: 6.9%)
$241.49
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.05 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.08
Bull Case
$394.60
(+70%)
Analyst growth 54.4%, PE expands to 25.4
Base Case
$358.73
(+54%)
Market implied 54.4%, PE stable at 23.1
Bear Case
$157.99
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 9:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:37 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:37 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NUE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kenneth Rex Query
SELL
7452 shares
2026-02-11
Allen C Behr
SELL
7568 shares
2026-02-03
Allen C Behr
SELL
7500 shares
2026-02-02
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