NUE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NUE - Nucor Corporation
$220.75
1.73 (0.79%)
▲
5d:
-11.31%
30d:
-14.59%
90d:
+27.07%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
22d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: NUE is down 11.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: NUE is down 11.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$272.79
Based on 2.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$169.38
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NUE is currently trading at $220.75, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $236.74 to $259.79. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.9) is in line with its historical norms (14.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 382.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NUE is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $239.43. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $260.76 (+18.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NUE is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $239.43. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $260.76 (+18.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$236.74 -
$259.79
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding NUE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($260.76)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -11.3% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$236.74 -
$259.79
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$239.43
Resistance Level
$264.67
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.94
Wall Street Target
$260.76
(+18.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
382.1%
Profit Margin
6.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.9 vs 14.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$214.79
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$208.99
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$203.35
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→14)
$221.61
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 1.1%)
$384.12
(+74%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.9, Growth: 1.1%)
$228.18
(+3%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.0, Growth: 1.1%)
$193.95
(-12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.75 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.07
Bull Case
$408.21
(+85%)
Analyst growth 69.4%, PE expands to 23.9
Base Case
$371.10
(+68%)
Market implied 69.4%, PE stable at 21.8
Bear Case
$148.93
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.9 to 14.1
Stabilization Target:
$240.58
(+9.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 5:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:01 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NUE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kenneth Rex Query
SELL
7452 shares
2026-02-11
Allen C Behr
SELL
7568 shares
2026-02-03
Allen C Behr
SELL
7500 shares
2026-02-02
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NUE price and gamma walls.
