PII Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PII - Polaris Inc.
$63.12
-1.61 (-2.49%)
▼
5d:
-12.52%
30d:
-7.52%
90d:
+15.39%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: PII is down 12.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: PII is down 12.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$151.59
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$94.13
32.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PII is currently trading at $63.12, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $66.88 to $71.07. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.3) compared to its historical average (25.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PII is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $65.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PII is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $65.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$66.88 -
$71.07
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($68.00)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -12.5% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$66.88 -
$71.07
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$65.56
Resistance Level
$71.35
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.27
Wall Street Target
$68.00
(+7.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-89.6%
Profit Margin
-6.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.3 vs 25.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$58.64
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$54.48
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$50.61
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→25)
$63.16
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 71.0%)
$228.89
(+263%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.3, Growth: 71.0%)
$213.03
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.2, Growth: 71.0%)
$181.08
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.3 to 25.3
Stabilization Target:
$78.78
(+24.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+24.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 2:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:57 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Benjamin D Duke
SELL
10090 shares
2026-02-11
Michael T Speetzen
SELL
35086 shares
2026-02-11
James P Williams
SELL
5243 shares
2026-02-03
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