PII Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PII - Polaris Inc.
$65.63
0.97 (1.51%)
▲
5d:
-0.99%
30d:
+13.32%
90d:
-0.55%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 28, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PII shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PII shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$152.64
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$94.78
30.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PII is currently trading at $65.62, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $56.80 to $66.97. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.6) compared to its historical average (26.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PII is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $62.23, while resistance sits at $69.43.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PII is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $62.23, while resistance sits at $69.43.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$56.80 -
$66.97
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($68.33)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$56.80 -
$66.97
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$62.23
Resistance Level
$69.43
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.62
Wall Street Target
$68.33
(+5.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-89.6%
Profit Margin
-6.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.6 vs 26.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$59.61
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$54.96
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$50.67
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→26)
$64.63
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 73.6%)
$233.54
(+261%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.6, Growth: 73.6%)
$218.19
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.5, Growth: 73.6%)
$185.46
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.6 to 26.3
Stabilization Target:
$82.46
(+27.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+27.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 10:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:38 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:38 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Benjamin D Duke
SELL
10090 shares
2026-02-11
Michael T Speetzen
SELL
35086 shares
2026-02-11
James P Williams
SELL
5243 shares
2026-02-03
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