RSG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RSG - Republic Services Inc.
$211.65
3.33 (1.60%)
▲
5d:
+7.04%
30d:
+1.92%
90d:
-4.31%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
RSG is up 4.1% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $210 2026-06-18 with 421 OI. Put ratio: 76% View Scanner →
Strength: 4.7/10
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1 traders called RSG this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: RSG shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: RSG shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$286.19
Based on 7.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$177.70
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RSG is currently trading at $211.65, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $202.85 to $214.25. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 25.9) is in line with its historical norms (28.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 7.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RSG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $211.12. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: RSG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $243.83 (+17.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RSG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $211.12. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: RSG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $243.83 (+17.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$202.85 -
$214.25
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($243.83)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$202.85 -
$214.25
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$196.41
Resistance Level
$211.12
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.85
Wall Street Target
$243.83
(+17.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
7.5%
Profit Margin
13.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
25.9 vs 28.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$202.70
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$197.22
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$191.90
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→28)
$208.58
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.9, Growth: 10.6%)
$282.10
(+35%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 10.6%)
$240.83
(+16%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.8, Growth: 10.6%)
$204.71
(-2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.97
Bull Case
$265.38
(+27%)
Analyst growth 15.6%, PE expands to 32.9
Base Case
$241.26
(+16%)
Market implied 15.6%, PE stable at 29.9
Bear Case
$141.90
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.9 to 28.1
Stabilization Target:
$226.43
(+8.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 10:31 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:31 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:31 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RSG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-01-23
Julie Johnson
SELL
2025-12-18
Katharine Weymouth
BUY
478 shares
2025-12-09
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's RSG price and gamma walls.
