RSG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RSG - Republic Services Inc.
$217.34
2.63 (1.22%)
▲
5d:
+1.8%
30d:
+7.77%
90d:
-1.5%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: RSG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: RSG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$286.26
Based on 7.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$177.74
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RSG is currently trading at $217.34, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $204.01 to $213.28. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 27.0) is in line with its historical norms (27.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 7.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RSG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $212.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: RSG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $243.58 (+12.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RSG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $212.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: RSG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $243.58 (+12.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$204.01 -
$213.28
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
38th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 38th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($243.58)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$204.01 -
$213.28
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$7.43
(3.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$197.62
Resistance Level
$212.79
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.97
Wall Street Target
$243.58
(+12.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
7.5%
Profit Margin
13.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
27.0 vs 27.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$215.60
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$213.88
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$212.17
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→28)
$217.16
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.0, Growth: 10.6%)
$294.10
(+35%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.6%)
$237.55
(+9%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 10.6%)
$201.91
(-7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.98
Bull Case
$272.72
(+26%)
Analyst growth 15.5%, PE expands to 33.8
Base Case
$247.93
(+14%)
Market implied 15.5%, PE stable at 30.8
Bear Case
$146.00
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 27.0 to 27.6
Stabilization Target:
$222.45
(+2.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 3:15 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:15 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:15 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RSG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-01-23
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