TPC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TPC - Tutor Perini Corporation
$81.96
63.24 (337.82%)
▲
5d:
-11.8%
30d:
+1.76%
90d:
+2.51%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 7, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
0d
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1 traders called TPC this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: TPC is down 11.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: TPC is down 11.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$108.45
Based on 11.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$67.34
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TPC is currently trading at $81.96, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.51 to $89.61. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.9) compared to its historical average (10.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TPC is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $18.69, while resistance sits at $94.61. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 337.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $109.50 (+33.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TPC is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $18.69, while resistance sits at $94.61. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 337.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $109.50 (+33.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$23.51 -
$89.61
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+337.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 33.6% below Wall St target ($109.50)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 9.3% growth expectation is conservative given 2342% recent growth
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -11.8% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.51 -
$89.61
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.69
Resistance Level
$94.61
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
May 7, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.92
Wall Street Target
$109.50
(+33.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
41.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2341.5%
Profit Margin
1.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+9.3% premium
PE vs Historical
13.9 vs 10.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+9.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$89.58
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$97.91
(+20%)
3-Year Target
$107.02
(+31%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$82.28
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 19.2%)
$218.64
(+167%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.9, Growth: 19.2%)
$138.69
(+69%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.7, Growth: 19.2%)
$106.63
(+30%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 14.01 | Forward EPS (Implied): $5.85
Bull Case
$98.97
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 14.7
Base Case
$81.96
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 14.0
Bear Case
$62.70
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 12.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 08, 2026 7:12 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:12 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:12 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TPC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
7
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Peter Arkley
BUY
8117 shares
2026-03-06
Peter Arkley
BUY
10999 shares
2026-03-05
Gary G Smalley
BUY
10000 shares
2026-03-04
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