VICI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VICI - VICI Properties Inc. Common Stock
$27.19
0.92 (3.50%)
▲
5d:
+2.49%
30d:
-1.27%
90d:
-0.98%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
25d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VICI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: VICI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.85
Based on 2.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.40
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VICI is currently trading at $27.19, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.71 to $28.23. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.3) is in line with its historical norms (9.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 60.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VICI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $27.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: VICI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.83 (+24.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VICI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $27.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: VICI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.83 (+24.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$26.71 -
$28.23
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding VICI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 24.4% below Wall St target ($33.83)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$26.71 -
$28.23
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.01
Resistance Level
$28.93
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.26
Wall Street Target
$33.83
(+24.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
60.1%
Profit Margin
76.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.3 vs 9.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.73
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$26.27
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$25.83
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$27.32
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 1.4%)
$66.61
(+145%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.3, Growth: 1.4%)
$28.33
(+4%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.9, Growth: 1.4%)
$24.08
(-11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.92
Bull Case
$29.05
(+7%)
Analyst growth 0.5%, PE expands to 9.9
Base Case
$26.41
(-3%)
Market implied 0.5%, PE stable at 9.0
Bear Case
$17.86
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.3 to 9.8
Stabilization Target:
$28.76
(+5.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 3:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:48 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:48 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VICI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
2
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2026-03-13
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-24
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