WM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WM - Waste Management, Inc.
$230.40
6.32 (2.82%)
▲
5d:
+3.28%
30d:
+8.72%
90d:
-0.26%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
22d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$343.15
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$213.07
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WM is currently trading at $230.40, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $214.27 to $223.47. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.9) is in line with its historical norms (24.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WM is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $222.42. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: WM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $256.04 (+11.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WM is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $222.42. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: WM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $256.04 (+11.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$214.27 -
$223.47
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($256.04)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$214.27 -
$223.47
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$210.12
Resistance Level
$222.42
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.92
Wall Street Target
$256.04
(+11.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
13.3%
Profit Margin
11.0%
PE vs Historical
24.9 vs 24.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$230.40
(0%)
2-Year Target
$230.40
(0%)
3-Year Target
$230.40
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→25)
PE COMPRESSION
$230.26
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.9, Growth: 12.7%)
$329.93
(+43%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.7%)
$288.41
(+25%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 12.7%)
$245.15
(+6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.48 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.90
Bull Case
$330.34
(+43%)
Analyst growth 34.0%, PE expands to 35.7
Base Case
$300.31
(+30%)
Market implied 34.0%, PE stable at 32.5
Bear Case
$152.37
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 11:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
18
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
Christopher P Desantis
SELL
61 shares
2026-03-09
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