WM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WM - Waste Management, Inc.
$222.68
2.86 (1.30%)
▲
5d:
+4.0%
30d:
-0.57%
90d:
-5.33%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 28, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
WM is down 3.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $270 2026-06-18 with 4,957 OI. Call ratio: 78% View Scanner →
Strength: 4.3/10
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2 traders called WM this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: WM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: WM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$346.08
Based on 8.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$214.89
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WM is currently trading at $222.68, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $219.43 to $229.93. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.8) is in line with its historical norms (25.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 13.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WM is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $227.44. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: WM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $256.04 (+16.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WM is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $227.44. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: WM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $256.04 (+16.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$219.43 -
$229.93
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding WM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($256.04)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$219.43 -
$229.93
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$212.15
Resistance Level
$227.44
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.77
Wall Street Target
$256.04
(+16.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
13.3%
Profit Margin
11.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.8 vs 25.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$215.42
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$211.12
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$206.89
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→25)
$220.19
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.8, Growth: 12.9%)
$316.54
(+44%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 12.9%)
$293.88
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.8, Growth: 12.9%)
$249.79
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.91
Bull Case
$322.11
(+47%)
Analyst growth 33.8%, PE expands to 34.8
Base Case
$292.83
(+33%)
Market implied 33.8%, PE stable at 31.7
Bear Case
$148.80
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.8 to 25.3
Stabilization Target:
$233.95
(+6.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 2:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:30 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:30 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is WM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
18
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
Christopher P Desantis
SELL
61 shares
2026-03-09
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WCN
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GFL
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CLH
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CWST
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Advanced WM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's WM price and gamma walls.
