AAT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AAT - AMERICAN ASSETS TRUST, INC.
$20.77
-0.08 (-0.38%)
▼
5d:
-1.28%
30d:
+2.16%
90d:
+11.91%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 28, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AAT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AAT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.75
Based on 0.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.30
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AAT is currently trading at $20.77, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.74 to $21.20. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 46.2) is in line with its historical norms (44.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AAT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.41. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AAT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.41. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$19.74 -
$21.20
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($19.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.5% growth with 1.8% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.74 -
$21.20
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.41
Resistance Level
$21.36
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
46.16
Wall Street Target
$19.00
(-8.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-88.0%
Profit Margin
4.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.5% premium
PE vs Historical
46.2 vs 44.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.08
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$21.40
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$21.72
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 46→44)
PE COMPRESSION
$20.75
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 46.2, Growth: -2.2%)
$19.44
(+-6%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: -2.2%)
$9.30
(-55%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.8, Growth: -2.2%)
$7.90
(-62%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (70x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (46x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 69.50 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.30
Bull Case
$34.40
(+66%)
Analyst growth 50.0%, PE expands to 76.5
Base Case
$31.27
(+51%)
Market implied 50.0%, PE stable at 69.5
Bear Case
$14.18
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 59.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 7:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:12 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AAT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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