ACLS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ACLS - Axcelis Technologies Inc
$144.50
-33.83 (-18.97%)
▼
5d:
-20.03%
30d:
-8.99%
90d:
+51.29%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.6/10
Get Alerted When ACLS Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ACLS is down 20.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ACLS is down 20.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$235.08
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$145.96
1.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACLS is currently trading at $144.50, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $154.71 to $181.12. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 29.8) compared to its historical average (24.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACLS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $141.67. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 19.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $169.67 (+17.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACLS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $141.67. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 19.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $169.67 (+17.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$154.71 -
$181.12
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
42th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ACLS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 42th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-19.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($169.67)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.1% growth with 3.3% revenue growth
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -20.0% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$154.71 -
$181.12
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$19.47
(13.5%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$141.67
Resistance Level
$191.20
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
29.81
Wall Street Target
$169.67
(+17.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-65.9%
Profit Margin
11.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.1% premium
PE vs Historical
29.8 vs 24.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$153.31
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$162.67
(+13%)
3-Year Target
$172.59
(+19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 30→25)
PE COMPRESSION
$144.18
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 29.8, Growth: 26.4%)
$292.15
(+102%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 26.4%)
$213.48
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 26.4%)
$181.46
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (55x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (30x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 55.38 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.22
Bull Case
$295.34
(+104%)
Analyst growth 50.6%, PE expands to 60.9
Base Case
$268.49
(+86%)
Market implied 50.6%, PE stable at 55.4
Bear Case
$121.26
(-16%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 47.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 6:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:05 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:05 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is ACLS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Russell Low
SELL
1244 shares
2026-04-01
Jorge Titinger
SELL
1000 shares
2026-02-20
Top Rated Semiconductor Equipment & Materials Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Semiconductor Equipment & Materials by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
ASML
ASML Holding NV ADR |
STRONG BUY
44 analysts |
$1746 | 53 HOLD |
|
AMAT
Applied Materials Inc |
STRONG BUY
39 analysts |
$532 | 58 HOLD |
|
LRCX
Lam Research Corp |
STRONG BUY
33 analysts |
$341 | 58 HOLD |
|
KLAC
KLA Corporation |
BUY
30 analysts |
$204 | 54 HOLD |
|
TER
Teradyne Inc |
BUY
17 analysts |
$390 | 49 HOLD |
Advanced ACLS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ACLS price and gamma walls.
