ACR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ACR - ACRES Commercial Realty Corp.
$18.00
-0.09 (-0.50%)
▼
5d:
+5.76%
30d:
-11.72%
90d:
-6.15%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ACR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ACR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$35.70
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.16
18.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACR is currently trading at $18.00, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.08 to $19.54. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.1) is in line with its historical norms (23.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 272.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACR is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $18.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ACR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.50 (+36.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACR is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $18.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ACR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.50 (+36.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$17.08 -
$19.54
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 36.1% below Wall St target ($24.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$17.08 -
$19.54
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.66
Resistance Level
$18.50
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.08
Wall Street Target
$24.50
(+36.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
272.2%
Profit Margin
29.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.1 vs 23.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.89
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$17.78
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$17.68
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→24)
$18.00
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.1, Growth: 34.5%)
$43.78
(+143%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 34.5%)
$41.32
(+130%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 34.5%)
$35.12
(+95%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.67
Bull Case
$23.17
(+29%)
Analyst growth 16.4%, PE expands to 29.7
Base Case
$21.06
(+17%)
Market implied 16.4%, PE stable at 27.0
Bear Case
$12.30
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.1 to 23.5
Stabilization Target:
$18.33
(+1.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 11:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:20 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:20 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ACR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
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