ACR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ACR - ACRES Commercial Realty Corp.
$19.57
-1.10 (-5.32%)
▼
5d:
-13.41%
30d:
-1.41%
90d:
+5.27%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ACR is down 13.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ACR is down 13.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.34
Based on 9.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.84
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACR is currently trading at $19.57, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.54 to $21.75. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.2) is in line with its historical norms (23.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACR is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $19.39. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.50 (+25.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACR is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $19.39. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.50 (+25.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$19.54 -
$21.75
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 25.2% below Wall St target ($24.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -13.4% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.54 -
$21.75
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.39
Resistance Level
$23.15
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.16
Wall Street Target
$24.50
(+25.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
272.2%
Profit Margin
29.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.0% premium
PE vs Historical
24.2 vs 23.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.77
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$19.96
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$20.16
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→24)
PE COMPRESSION
$19.61
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.2, Growth: 15.7%)
$30.32
(+55%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 15.7%)
$27.70
(+42%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.8, Growth: 15.7%)
$23.54
(+20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.85 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.67
Bull Case
$27.49
(+41%)
Analyst growth 20.9%, PE expands to 33.9
Base Case
$24.99
(+28%)
Market implied 20.9%, PE stable at 30.9
Bear Case
$14.06
(-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 3:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:38 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:38 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ACR showing a specific setup today?
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0
Buys
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Sells
Net
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