ACT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ACT - Enact Holdings, Inc. Common Stock

INSURANCE AGENTS, BROKERS & SERVICE
$44.04
0.82 (1.90%) ▲
5d: +3.38%
30d: +3.09%
90d: +2.02%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Analysis Updated: May 8, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ACT is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$48.22
Based on 2.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.94
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ACT is currently trading at $44.04, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $41.80 to $43.62. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.8) is in line with its historical norms (8.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ACT is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $44.52. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (26th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $41.80 - $43.62
Company Quality Score 62/100 (BUY)
Options IV Signal 26th percentile (LOW)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 57.3%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 26th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($46.25)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $41.80 - $43.62
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$2.26 (5.1%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $41.89
Resistance Level $44.52
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of May 8, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.85
Wall Street Target $46.25 (+5.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 1.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 9.3%
Profit Margin 54.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.9% premium
PE vs Historical 8.9 vs 8.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $44.88 (+2%)
2-Year Target $45.73 (+4%)
3-Year Target $46.60 (+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→8) PE COMPRESSION $44.23 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.9, Growth: 1.8%) $115.06 (+161%)
Base: (SPY PE: 8.9, Growth: 1.8%) $46.41 (+5%)
Bear: (PE: 7.5, Growth: 1.8%) $39.45 (-10%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.62
Bull Case $51.21 (+16%)
Analyst growth 7.7%, PE expands to 10.3
Base Case $46.55 (+6%)
Market implied 7.7%, PE stable at 9.4
Bear Case $29.39 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: May 10, 2026 1:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:03 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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