ADAM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ADAM - Adamas Trust, Inc. Common Stock
$8.73
-0.20 (-2.19%)
▼
5d:
-1.19%
30d:
+14.5%
90d:
+6.92%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ADAM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ADAM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.58
Based on -0.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.71
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ADAM is currently trading at $8.72, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.62 to $8.65. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.4) compared to its historical average (7.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADAM is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ADAM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.79 (+32.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADAM is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ADAM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.79 (+32.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$7.62 -
$8.65
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.2% below Wall St target ($11.79)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 4.8% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$7.62 -
$8.65
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.52
Resistance Level
$9.13
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.42
Wall Street Target
$11.79
(+32.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
21.2%
Profit Margin
48.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.8% premium
PE vs Historical
8.4 vs 7.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.35
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$9.80
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$10.27
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$8.90
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: -4.7%)
$23.32
(+161%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.4, Growth: -4.7%)
$8.91
(0%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.2, Growth: -4.7%)
$7.57
(-15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.17
Bull Case
$8.98
(+1%)
Analyst growth -9.4%, PE expands to 8.5
Base Case
$8.17
(-8%)
Market implied -9.4%, PE stable at 7.7
Bear Case
$6.13
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 11:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:29 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:29 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ADAM showing a specific setup today?
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