AMPG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMPG - AMPLITECH GROUP INC. COM
$2.87
0.39 (15.73%)
▲
5d:
+34.11%
30d:
+37.98%
90d:
+8.3%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 21, 2026
5d
Smart Money Accumulation
AMPG is down 6.5% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $2.5 2026-07-17 with 2,010 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 8.3/10
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6 traders called AMPG this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: AMPG is 21.6% above its trading range ($2.36). Market expects -5.7% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: AMPG is 21.6% above its trading range ($2.36). Market expects -5.7% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.13
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.18
9.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMPG is currently trading at $2.87, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1.83 to $2.36. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.5) compared to its historical average (7.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMPG is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $1.95, while resistance sits at $2.96. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 15.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: AMPG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.00 (+143.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMPG is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $1.95, while resistance sits at $2.96. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 15.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: AMPG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.00 (+143.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$1.83 -
$2.36
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+21.6% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+15.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading 143.9% below Wall St target ($7.00)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to 21.6% overvaluation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$1.83 -
$2.36
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$1.95
Resistance Level
$2.96
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.52
Wall Street Target
$7.00
(+143.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
141.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-96.6%
Profit Margin
-27.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.5 vs 7.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2.71
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$2.55
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$2.41
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$2.88
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 12.8%)
$13.93
(+385%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.5, Growth: 12.8%)
$4.12
(+44%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.5, Growth: 12.8%)
$3.50
(+22%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.5 to 7.8
Stabilization Target:
$3.43
(+19.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 11:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:35 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:35 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMPG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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