ANDE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ANDE - Andersons Inc/The

WHOLESALE-FARM PRODUCT RAW MATERIALS
$76.59
0.62 (0.82%) ▲
5d: +1.18%
30d: +4.65%
90d: +26.32%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 28, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026 5d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ANDE is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$120.29
Based on 10.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$74.69
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ANDE is currently trading at $76.59, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $71.35 to $75.49. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.4) is in line with its historical norms (12.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ANDE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $77.54. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: ANDE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $71.35 - $75.49
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 58.1%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($75.00)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $71.35 - $75.49
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $69.11
Resistance Level $77.54
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Apr 28, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.40
Wall Street Target $75.00 (-2.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -18.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 51.4%
Profit Margin 0.9%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.6% premium
PE vs Historical 13.4 vs 12.8 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $77.82 (+2%)
2-Year Target $79.06 (+3%)
3-Year Target $80.33 (+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→13) PE COMPRESSION $76.74 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.6, Growth: 17.1%) $189.03 (+147%)
Base: (SPY PE: 13.4, Growth: 17.1%) $122.88 (+60%)
Bear: (PE: 11.4, Growth: 17.1%) $104.44 (+36%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.79
Bull Case $167.13 (+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 30.0
Base Case $151.94 (+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 27.2
Bear Case $51.66 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: April 29, 2026 1:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:15 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Patrick E Bowe SELL 15000 shares 2026-04-06
John T Stout Jr SELL 2500 shares 2026-03-17
Patrick E Bowe SELL 15000 shares 2026-03-16

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