AOUT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AOUT - American Outdoor Brands, Inc. Common Stock
$8.71
-0.47 (-5.12%)
▼
5d:
-7.04%
30d:
-6.75%
90d:
+0.35%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 25, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AOUT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AOUT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.24
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.71
18.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AOUT is currently trading at $8.71, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.07 to $9.63. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.9) is in line with its historical norms (23.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AOUT is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $8.42, while resistance sits at $9.90. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.50 (+43.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AOUT is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $8.42, while resistance sits at $9.90. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.50 (+43.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$9.07 -
$9.63
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 43.5% below Wall St target ($12.50)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.0% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.07 -
$9.63
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.42
Resistance Level
$9.90
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.92
Wall Street Target
$12.50
(+43.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-33.3%
Profit Margin
-4.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.9 vs 23.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.67
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$8.62
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$8.58
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→23)
$8.72
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.9, Growth: 162.1%)
$29.40
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 162.1%)
$28.30
(+225%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.8, Growth: 162.1%)
$24.06
(+176%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.9 to 23.3
Stabilization Target:
$8.85
(+1.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 8:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:35 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AOUT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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