ARES Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ARES - Ares Management Corporation Class A Common Stock
$128.53
5.35 (4.34%)
▲
5d:
+4.37%
30d:
+7.75%
90d:
-4.04%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 01, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
ARES is up 4.7% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $140 2026-06-18 with 3,867 OI. Put ratio: 60% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.4/10
Get Alerted When ARES Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ARES shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ARES shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$268.75
Based on 14.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$166.87
23.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ARES is currently trading at $128.53, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $108.41 to $123.73. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.4) is in line with its historical norms (19.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 770.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ARES is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $129.35. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: ARES has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $145.71 (+13.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ARES is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $129.35. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: ARES has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $145.71 (+13.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$108.41 -
$123.73
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
64.3%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($145.71)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$108.41 -
$123.73
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$114.94
Resistance Level
$129.35
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.40
Wall Street Target
$145.71
(+13.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
28.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
770.5%
Profit Margin
10.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.4 vs 19.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$124.93
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$121.43
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$118.03
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→19)
$128.88
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 24.2%)
$311.75
(+143%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.4, Growth: 24.2%)
$246.13
(+92%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.8, Growth: 24.2%)
$209.21
(+63%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 20.66 | Forward EPS (Implied): $6.22
Bull Case
$155.20
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 21.7
Base Case
$128.53
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 20.7
Bear Case
$98.33
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 18.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.4 to 19.0
Stabilization Target:
$140.34
(+9.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 2:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:01 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is ARES showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
6
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
John Boozman
BUY
2026-03-13
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-24
Judy D Olian
BUY
480 shares
2026-02-20
Top Rated Asset Management Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Asset Management by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
BLK
BlackRock Inc |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$1254 | 67 BUY |
|
APO
Apollo Global Management… |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$147 | 68 BUY |
|
BX
Blackstone Group Inc |
HOLD
23 analysts |
$144 | 55 HOLD |
|
OWL
Blue Owl Capital Inc |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$13 | 56 HOLD |
|
ARCC
Ares Capital Corporation |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$21 | 58 HOLD |
Advanced ARES Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ARES price and gamma walls.
