ASTS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ASTS - AST SpaceMobile, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$93.86
-11.03 (-10.52%)
▼
5d:
+9.44%
30d:
-18.92%
90d:
+64.99%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 5, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Mar 27, 2026
20d
Smart Money Accumulation
ASTS is down 6.4% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $80 2026-03-20 with 7,993 OI. Call ratio: 61% View Scanner →
Strength: 4.2/10
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20 traders called ASTS this week
86% bullish • 4 bearish
86% bullish • 4 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ASTS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ASTS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.94
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.52
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASTS is currently trading at $93.86, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $82.95 to $108.26. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 216.9) compared to its historical average (178.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASTS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $77.17, while resistance sits at $106.66. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 10.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: ASTS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $83.58. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASTS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $77.17, while resistance sits at $106.66. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 10.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: ASTS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $83.58. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$82.95 -
$108.26
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-10.5%)
- BEARISH: Trading 20.3% above Wall St target ($83.58)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 6.8% growth which is achievable
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$82.95 -
$108.26
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$77.17
Resistance Level
$106.66
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 5, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
216.89
Wall Street Target
$83.58
(-20.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2731.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.8% premium
PE vs Historical
216.9 vs 178.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$112.02
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$119.64
(+14%)
3-Year Target
$127.78
(+22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 217→178)
PE COMPRESSION
$104.92
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 06, 2026 5:25 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:25 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:25 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ASTS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Keith R Larson
BUY
625 shares
2025-12-24
Keith R Larson
BUY
715 shares
2025-12-17
Keith R Larson
BUY
675 shares
2025-12-10
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Advanced ASTS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ASTS price and gamma walls.
