ASTS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ASTS - AST SpaceMobile, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$80.01
-0.99 (-1.22%)
▼
5d:
-9.66%
30d:
-11.03%
90d:
-28.84%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 11, 2026
18d
Smart Money Accumulation
ASTS is down 12.6% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $100 2026-06-18 with 7,362 OI. Call ratio: 60% View Scanner →
Strength: 7.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ASTS trades at premium valuation expecting 120.9% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: ASTS trades at premium valuation expecting 120.9% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASTS is currently trading at $80.01, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $82.91 to $94.83. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 2127.9) compared to its historical average (197.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 120.9% annual earnings growth. This is a high bar to clear, indicating the stock may be priced for perfection.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASTS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $73.50, while resistance sits at $104.15.
Market Sentiment: ASTS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASTS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $73.50, while resistance sits at $104.15.
Market Sentiment: ASTS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$82.91 -
$94.83
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ASTS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($86.40)
- BEARISH: Market expects 120.9% growth - appears too optimistic based on history
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-9.7%) - monitor closely
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$82.91 -
$94.83
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$73.50
Resistance Level
$104.15
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2127.93
Wall Street Target
$86.40
(+8.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2731.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+120.9% premium
PE vs Historical
2127.9 vs 197.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+120.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$120.02
(+50%)
2-Year Target
$180.02
(+125%)
3-Year Target
$270.03
(+238%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2128→198)
PE COMPRESSION
$25.06
(-69%)
Significant PE compression expected
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 22, 2026 3:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:55 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:55 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ASTS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Huiwen Yao
SELL
40000 shares
2026-03-23
Keith R Larson
BUY
625 shares
2025-12-24
Keith R Larson
BUY
715 shares
2025-12-17
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Advanced ASTS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ASTS price and gamma walls.