ASYS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ASYS - Amtech Systems Inc
$20.78
-1.67 (-7.46%)
▼
5d:
-3.3%
30d:
+26.71%
90d:
+81.96%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 11, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ASYS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ASYS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.32
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.80
12.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASYS is currently trading at $20.78, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.69 to $19.99. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 28.1) compared to its historical average (24.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASYS is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.11, while resistance sits at $23.90. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: ASYS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASYS is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.11, while resistance sits at $23.90. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: ASYS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$14.69 -
$19.99
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-7.5%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($22.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.4% growth with 31.4% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.69 -
$19.99
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.12
Resistance Level
$23.90
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.07
Wall Street Target
$22.00
(-2.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
31.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-62.4%
Profit Margin
3.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.4% premium
PE vs Historical
28.1 vs 24.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.44
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$24.47
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$25.55
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→25)
PE COMPRESSION
$22.39
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 28.1, Growth: 150.0%)
$75.79
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 150.0%)
$59.51
(+165%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: 150.0%)
$50.58
(+125%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (86x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (28x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 86.21 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.26
Bull Case
$27.11
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 90.5
Base Case
$22.45
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 86.2
Bear Case
$17.18
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 77.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 11:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:51 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:51 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ASYS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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