BLKB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BLKB - Blackbaud, Inc.
$27.65
-0.25 (-0.91%)
▼
5d:
-0.05%
30d:
-11.42%
90d:
-36.45%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BLKB appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -17.6% annual earnings decline despite 651% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BLKB appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -17.6% annual earnings decline despite 651% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$74.64
Based on 8.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$46.35
40.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BLKB is currently trading at $27.64, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.87 to $33.22. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.8) compared to its historical average (8.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 17.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 650.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BLKB is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $26.59, while resistance sits at $32.93.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.00 (+82.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BLKB is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $26.59, while resistance sits at $32.93.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.00 (+82.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$27.87 -
$33.22
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 82.8% below Wall St target ($51.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$27.87 -
$33.22
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.59
Resistance Level
$32.93
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 12, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.76
Wall Street Target
$51.00
(+82.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
650.6%
Profit Margin
12.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-17.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.8 vs 8.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-17.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.11
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$22.60
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$20.34
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→9)
$36.35
(+30%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 12.9%)
$185.23
(+564%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.8, Growth: 12.9%)
$40.19
(+44%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.0, Growth: 12.9%)
$34.16
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.27 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.95
Bull Case
$59.85
(+115%)
Analyst growth 98.8%, PE expands to 10.2
Base Case
$54.40
(+95%)
Market implied 98.8%, PE stable at 9.3
Bear Case
$18.60
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.8 to 8.5
Stabilization Target:
$49.86
(+78.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+78.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 15, 2026 10:40 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:40 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:40 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BLKB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kevin P Gregoire
SELL
2000 shares
2026-03-04
David J Benjamin
SELL
14349 shares
2026-02-24
Kevin Mcdearis
SELL
15462 shares
2026-02-23
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