BLMN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BLMN - Bloomin' Brands, Inc. Common Stock
$8.12
0.17 (2.14%)
▲
5d:
+37.16%
30d:
+33.55%
90d:
+14.85%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 8, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026
1d
Smart Money Distribution
BLMN is up 37.2% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $5 2026-07-17 with 4,029 OI. Put ratio: 66% View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: BLMN is 16.5% above its trading range ($6.97). Market expects 6.3% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: BLMN is 16.5% above its trading range ($6.97). Market expects 6.3% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.32
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.41
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BLMN is currently trading at $8.12, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.51 to $6.97. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.3) compared to its historical average (6.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BLMN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $5.53, while resistance sits at $8.56.
Market Sentiment: BLMN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BLMN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $5.53, while resistance sits at $8.56.
Market Sentiment: BLMN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$5.51 -
$6.97
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
44.3%
Protect Your Profits
BLMN is technically overbought (RSI 72). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+16.5% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($7.67)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 6.3% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.51 -
$6.97
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.53
Resistance Level
$8.56
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 8, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.33
Wall Street Target
$7.67
(-5.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
29.9%
Profit Margin
0.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.3% premium
PE vs Historical
8.3 vs 6.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.63
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$9.18
(+13%)
3-Year Target
$9.75
(+20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$8.08
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 14.0%)
$31.65
(+290%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.3, Growth: 14.0%)
$12.02
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.9, Growth: 14.0%)
$9.95
(+23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.24
Bull Case
$17.49
(+115%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 36.4
Base Case
$15.90
(+96%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 33.1
Bear Case
$5.41
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 10, 2026 3:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:06 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BLMN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Rohit Lal
BUY
10000 shares
2026-03-11
Julie T Kunkel
BUY
1000 shares
2026-03-05
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Advanced BLMN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BLMN price and gamma walls.