BMBL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BMBL - Bumble Inc. Class A Common Stock
$3.28
0.05 (1.55%)
▲
5d:
+11.56%
30d:
+7.89%
90d:
-1.5%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BMBL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BMBL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$3.22
Based on 0.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.00
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BMBL is currently trading at $3.28, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.80 to $3.17. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 3.6) is in line with its historical norms (3.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BMBL is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $2.54, while resistance sits at $3.45.
Market Sentiment: BMBL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.34 (+32.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BMBL is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $2.54, while resistance sits at $3.45.
Market Sentiment: BMBL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.34 (+32.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$2.80 -
$3.17
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.4% below Wall St target ($4.34)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$2.80 -
$3.17
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.54
Resistance Level
$3.45
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
3.58
Wall Street Target
$4.34
(+32.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-14.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
169.8%
Profit Margin
-71.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
3.6 vs 3.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.30
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$3.33
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$3.35
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→4)
PE COMPRESSION
$3.27
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -3.7%)
$17.81
(+443%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 3.6, Growth: -3.7%)
$2.93
(-11%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.0, Growth: -3.7%)
$2.49
(-24%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 06, 2026 1:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:00 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BMBL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
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Advanced BMBL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BMBL price and gamma walls.
