BMBL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BMBL - Bumble Inc. Class A Common Stock

SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING, DATA PROCESSING, ETC.
$3.26
-0.14 (-4.12%) ▼
5d: -5.78%
30d: -20.29%
90d: +16.85%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 13, 2026 0d
Smart Money Accumulation

BMBL is down 5.8% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $5 2026-07-17 with 2,333 OI. Call ratio: 83% View Scanner →

Strength: 6.2/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BMBL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$3.91
Based on 1.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.43
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BMBL is currently trading at $3.26, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.46 to $4.30. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 3.2) compared to its historical average (3.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 169.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BMBL is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $3.23. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.1% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.37 (+33.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $3.46 - $4.30
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 74.8%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.1%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 33.9% below Wall St target ($4.37)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.8% 5-day decline

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $3.46 - $4.30
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $3.23
Resistance Level $4.37
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of May 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 3.25
Wall Street Target $4.37 (+33.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -14.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 169.8%
Profit Margin -71.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -3.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 3.3 vs 3.7 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -3.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $3.14 (-4%)
2-Year Target $3.02 (-8%)
3-Year Target $2.90 (-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 3→4) $3.30 (+1%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.0, Growth: -1.8%) $20.95 (+543%)
Base: (SPY PE: 3.3, Growth: -1.8%) $3.09 (-5%)
Bear: (PE: 2.8, Growth: -1.8%) $2.63 (-19%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 3.3 to 3.7
Stabilization Target: $3.71 (+13.8%)
PE Expansion Potential: +13.8%
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Last updated: May 14, 2026 8:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:49 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
- Nq L.L.C. Btoa SELL 7477504 shares 2026-03-17
Buzz Holdings L.P. Bcp SELL 7477504 shares 2026-03-17
Bx Buzz Ml-1 Gp Llc SELL 7477504 shares 2026-03-17

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Advanced BMBL Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BMBL price and gamma walls.

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