BRSP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BRSP - BrightSpire Capital, Inc.
$5.76
0.06 (1.05%)
▲
5d:
-1.03%
30d:
-3.68%
90d:
-0.69%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BRSP shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BRSP shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.21
Based on 10.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.72
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BRSP is currently trading at $5.76, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.76 to $6.01. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.1) is in line with its historical norms (8.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BRSP is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $5.63. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.50 (+12.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BRSP is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $5.63. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.50 (+12.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$5.76 -
$6.01
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($6.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.3% growth with 9.8% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.76 -
$6.01
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.63
Resistance Level
$6.00
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.05
Wall Street Target
$6.50
(+12.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-21.8%
Profit Margin
-9.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
8.1 vs 8.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.78
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$5.79
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$5.81
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$5.78
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 16.1%)
$24.72
(+329%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.0, Growth: 16.1%)
$9.00
(+56%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.8, Growth: 16.1%)
$7.65
(+33%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 11:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:08 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:08 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BRSP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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