BWMN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BWMN - Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. Common Stock
$31.16
-1.72 (-5.23%)
▼
5d:
-10.38%
30d:
+0.84%
90d:
-7.7%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 11, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: BWMN is down 10.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: BWMN is down 10.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$77.60
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$48.18
35.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BWMN is currently trading at $31.16, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.81 to $33.59. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.1) compared to its historical average (16.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BWMN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $31.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.33 (+55.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BWMN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $31.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.33 (+55.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$30.81 -
$33.59
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 55.1% below Wall St target ($48.33)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -10.4% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$30.81 -
$33.59
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.00
Resistance Level
$37.52
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.14
Wall Street Target
$48.33
(+55.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-67.2%
Profit Margin
2.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.1 vs 16.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.73
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$26.49
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$24.42
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→17)
$31.23
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 39.6%)
$142.53
(+357%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.1, Growth: 39.6%)
$84.84
(+172%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.2, Growth: 39.6%)
$72.11
(+131%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (51x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 50.73 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.62
Bull Case
$69.19
(+122%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 55.8
Base Case
$62.90
(+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 50.7
Bear Case
$21.39
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 43.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.1 to 16.8
Stabilization Target:
$39.85
(+27.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+27.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 6:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:55 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:55 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BWMN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gary Bowman
SELL
7500 shares
2026-04-22
Gary Bowman
SELL
12500 shares
2026-04-22
Gary Bowman
SELL
12500 shares
2026-01-21
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