CAVA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CAVA - CAVA Group, Inc.
$76.88
-2.90 (-3.63%)
▼
5d:
-7.71%
30d:
+6.13%
90d:
-4.07%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.4/10
Get Alerted When CAVA Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CAVA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CAVA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.55
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.69
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CAVA is currently trading at $76.88, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $74.67 to $86.10. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 102.4) is in line with its historical norms (112.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAVA is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $75.74. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: CAVA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $92.12 (+19.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAVA is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $75.74. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: CAVA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $92.12 (+19.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$74.67 -
$86.10
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
50.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CAVA? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($92.12)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-7.7%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$74.67 -
$86.10
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$75.74
Resistance Level
$90.62
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
102.41
Wall Street Target
$92.12
(+19.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
32.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-9.1%
Profit Margin
4.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
102.4 vs 112.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$74.57
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$72.34
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$70.17
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 102→112)
$76.94
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 102.4, Growth: 36.1%)
$194.00
(+152%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 36.1%)
$41.26
(-46%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 36.1%)
$35.07
(-54%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (145x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (102x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 144.93 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.53
Bull Case
$92.83
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 152.2
Base Case
$76.88
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 144.9
Bear Case
$58.81
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 130.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 102.4 to 112.3
Stabilization Target:
$84.30
(+9.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 5:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:41 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:41 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is CAVA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
11
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Brett Schulman
SELL
4542 shares
2026-01-27
Kelly Costanza
SELL
1707 shares
2026-01-27
Kenneth Robert Bertram
SELL
994 shares
2026-01-27
Top Rated Restaurants Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Restaurants by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
WING
Wingstop Inc |
STRONG BUY
30 analysts |
$233 | 61 BUY |
|
CMG
Chipotle Mexican Grill I… |
STRONG BUY
37 analysts |
$43 | 64 BUY |
|
QSR
Restaurant Brands Intern… |
BUY
31 analysts |
$86 | 60 BUY |
|
DPZ
Domino's Pizza Inc Commo… |
BUY
31 analysts |
$399 | 61 BUY |
|
BROS
Dutch Bros Inc |
STRONG BUY
24 analysts |
$78 | 59 HOLD |
Advanced CAVA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CAVA price and gamma walls.
