CBRL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CBRL - Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc,.
$53.50
-1.60 (-2.90%)
▼
5d:
+10.72%
30d:
+56.57%
90d:
+87.46%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 09, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: CBRL is 7.9% above its trading range ($49.57). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: CBRL is 7.9% above its trading range ($49.57). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.41
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.53
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CBRL is currently trading at $53.50, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.65 to $49.57. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 80.1) compared to its historical average (51.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 15.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CBRL is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $44.54, while resistance sits at $55.20.
Market Sentiment: CBRL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $39.50. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CBRL is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $44.54, while resistance sits at $55.20.
Market Sentiment: CBRL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $39.50. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$34.65 -
$49.57
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.6%
Protect Your Profits
CBRL is technically overbought (RSI 74). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.9% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 26.2% above Wall St target ($39.50)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 15.5% growth expectation is conservative given 239% recent growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$34.65 -
$49.57
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$44.54
Resistance Level
$55.20
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
80.07
Wall Street Target
$39.50
(-26.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
239.3%
Profit Margin
0.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+15.5% premium
PE vs Historical
80.1 vs 51.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+15.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$61.79
(+16%)
2-Year Target
$71.37
(+33%)
3-Year Target
$82.43
(+54%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 80→52)
PE COMPRESSION
$53.43
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 47.91 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.15
Bull Case
$35.22
(-34%)
Analyst growth -41.9%, PE expands to 52.7
Base Case
$32.02
(-40%)
Market implied -41.9%, PE stable at 47.9
Bear Case
$37.47
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 40.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 5:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:59 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:59 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CBRL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Tim Moore
BUY
2026-03-23
Tim Moore
SELL
2026-01-05
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