CCU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CCU - Compania Cervecerias Unidas S.A.
$11.61
0.24 (2.11%)
▲
5d:
-1.69%
30d:
-5.61%
90d:
-18.75%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 13, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CCU shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CCU shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.74
Based on 9.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.88
9.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CCU is currently trading at $11.61, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.30 to $12.19. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.1) compared to its historical average (14.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCU is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $11.05, while resistance sits at $12.38.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCU is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $11.05, while resistance sits at $12.38.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$11.30 -
$12.19
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($11.97)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.30 -
$12.19
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.05
Resistance Level
$12.38
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.05
Wall Street Target
$11.98
(+3.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-6.8%
Profit Margin
3.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.1 vs 14.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.19
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$10.79
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$10.40
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→15)
$11.63
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 15.8%)
$30.53
(+163%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.1, Growth: 15.8%)
$18.03
(+55%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.1, Growth: 15.8%)
$15.33
(+32%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.48 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.69
Bull Case
$16.12
(+39%)
Analyst growth 28.9%, PE expands to 18.1
Base Case
$14.66
(+26%)
Market implied 28.9%, PE stable at 16.5
Bear Case
$7.73
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.1 to 14.6
Stabilization Target:
$12.99
(+11.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 11:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:07 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CCU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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