CCU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CCU - Compania Cervecerias Unidas S.A.
$11.09
0.29 (2.69%)
▲
5d:
-1.25%
30d:
-3.4%
90d:
-5.54%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CCU shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CCU shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.03
Based on 12.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.30
22.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CCU is currently trading at $11.09, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.06 to $11.69. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.2) compared to its historical average (14.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCU is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.76, while resistance sits at $11.96.
Market Sentiment: CCU has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.46 (+12.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCU is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.76, while resistance sits at $11.96.
Market Sentiment: CCU has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.46 (+12.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$11.06 -
$11.69
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($12.46)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.06 -
$11.69
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.76
Resistance Level
$11.96
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.15
Wall Street Target
$12.46
(+12.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-6.8%
Profit Margin
3.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.2 vs 14.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.55
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$10.03
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$9.54
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→14)
$11.07
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 21.0%)
$35.19
(+217%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.2, Growth: 21.0%)
$19.63
(+77%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.3, Growth: 21.0%)
$16.69
(+51%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.66
Bull Case
$16.43
(+48%)
Analyst growth 38.3%, PE expands to 18.0
Base Case
$14.94
(+35%)
Market implied 38.3%, PE stable at 16.4
Bear Case
$7.34
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.2 to 14.1
Stabilization Target:
$12.87
(+16.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 7:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:13 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:13 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CCU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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