CHA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CHA - Chagee Holdings Limited American Depositary Shares
$11.34
0.25 (2.21%)
▲
5d:
-5.7%
30d:
-1.78%
90d:
+13.46%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 7, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 28, 2026
Get Alerted When CHA Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CHA trades at premium valuation expecting 4.5% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: CHA trades at premium valuation expecting 4.5% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.93
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.65
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 0.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CHA is currently trading at $11.34, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.85 to $12.35. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 1.0) compared to its historical average (0.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHA is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.35 (+38.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHA is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.35 (+38.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$10.85 -
$12.35
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 38.4% below Wall St target ($15.35)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.5% growth with 4.5% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.7% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.85 -
$12.35
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.00
Resistance Level
$12.49
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 7, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
0.97
Wall Street Target
$15.35
(+38.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-40.3%
Profit Margin
7.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.5% premium
PE vs Historical
1.0 vs 0.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.59
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$12.11
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$12.66
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 1→1)
PE COMPRESSION
$10.43
(-6%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.7%)
$365.36
(+3195%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.0, Growth: 13.7%)
$16.28
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 0.8, Growth: 13.7%)
$13.42
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (1x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.44 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.73
Bull Case
$24.79
(+124%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 17.0
Base Case
$22.54
(+103%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 15.4
Bear Case
$7.66
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 08, 2026 11:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:23 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:23 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is CHA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Restaurants Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Restaurants by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
WING
Wingstop Inc |
STRONG BUY
30 analysts |
$233 | 61 BUY |
|
CMG
Chipotle Mexican Grill I… |
STRONG BUY
37 analysts |
$43 | 66 BUY |
|
QSR
Restaurant Brands Intern… |
BUY
31 analysts |
$86 | 61 BUY |
|
DPZ
Domino's Pizza Inc Commo… |
BUY
31 analysts |
$400 | 61 BUY |
|
YUMC
Yum China Holdings Inc |
STRONG BUY
23 analysts |
$61 | 64 BUY |