CIM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CIM - Chimera Investment Corp.
$13.09
-0.21 (-1.58%)
βΌ
5d:
-4.03%
30d:
-2.02%
90d:
-7.03%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
β BUY SIGNAL: CIM shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
β BUY SIGNAL: CIM shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.86
Based on 4.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.47
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CIM is currently trading at $13.09, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.23 to $13.70. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 5.8) is in line with its historical norms (6.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CIM is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.03. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.83 (+13.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CIM is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.03. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.83 (+13.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$13.23 -
$13.70
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($14.83)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.23 -
$13.70
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.03
Resistance Level
$13.86
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.83
Wall Street Target
$14.83
(+13.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-76.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-58.5%
Profit Margin
9.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.8 vs 6.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.95
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$12.80
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$12.66
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6β6)
$13.02
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 5.2%)
$57.69
(+341%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.8, Growth: 5.2%)
$15.25
(+17%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.0, Growth: 5.2%)
$12.96
(-1%)
π‘
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.8 to 6.0
Stabilization Target:
$13.46
(+2.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 8:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:21 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:21 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CIM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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