CLFD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CLFD - Clearfield, Inc.
$33.97
-4.53 (-11.77%)
▼
5d:
-9.73%
30d:
-29.51%
90d:
+30.55%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CLFD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CLFD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$64.94
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.33
15.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CLFD is currently trading at $33.97, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.13 to $45.56. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.4) is in line with its historical norms (23.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CLFD is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $33.71. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 11.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $43.75 (+28.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CLFD is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $33.71. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 11.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $43.75 (+28.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$37.13 -
$45.56
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-11.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 28.8% below Wall St target ($43.75)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.7% growth with -15.3% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -9.7% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$37.13 -
$45.56
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$33.71
Resistance Level
$41.59
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.43
Wall Street Target
$43.75
(+28.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-15.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-85.5%
Profit Margin
-5.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
23.4 vs 23.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$34.21
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$34.45
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$34.69
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→23)
PE COMPRESSION
$34.06
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.4, Growth: 107.1%)
$114.65
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 107.1%)
$106.59
(+214%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 107.1%)
$90.60
(+167%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 23.31 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.46
Bull Case
$41.02
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 24.5
Base Case
$33.97
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 23.3
Bear Case
$25.99
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 21.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 5:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:59 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:59 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CLFD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Donald R Hayward
SELL
3595 shares
2026-02-19
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