CLFD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CLFD - Clearfield, Inc.
$42.97
-0.53 (-1.22%)
▼
5d:
-8.05%
30d:
+43.33%
90d:
+32.83%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: CLFD is 8.6% above its trading range ($39.56). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: CLFD is 8.6% above its trading range ($39.56). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$60.14
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.34
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CLFD is currently trading at $42.97, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.64 to $39.56. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 30.0) compared to its historical average (21.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 12.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CLFD is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $28.63, while resistance sits at $46.75.
Market Sentiment: CLFD has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CLFD is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $28.63, while resistance sits at $46.75.
Market Sentiment: CLFD has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$26.64 -
$39.56
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+8.6% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($43.75)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 12.2% growth with -15.3% revenue growth
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-8.0%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$26.64 -
$39.56
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$28.63
Resistance Level
$46.75
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
30.00
Wall Street Target
$43.75
(+0.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-15.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-85.5%
Profit Margin
-5.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+12.2% premium
PE vs Historical
30.0 vs 21.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+12.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$48.81
(+12%)
2-Year Target
$54.76
(+26%)
3-Year Target
$61.44
(+41%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 30→21)
PE COMPRESSION
$43.62
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 30.0, Growth: 107.1%)
$146.81
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 107.1%)
$108.01
(+148%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.8, Growth: 107.1%)
$91.80
(+111%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (50x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (30x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 49.51 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.88
Bull Case
$52.53
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 52.0
Base Case
$43.50
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 49.5
Bear Case
$33.28
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 44.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 10:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:32 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CLFD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Donald R Hayward
SELL
3595 shares
2026-02-19
Ronald G Roth
BUY
10000 shares
2025-12-15
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