CTOS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CTOS - Custom Truck One Source, Inc.
$10.04
-1.00 (-9.06%)
▼
5d:
-16.12%
30d:
+2.87%
90d:
+51.66%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: CTOS is down 16.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: CTOS is down 16.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.47
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.36
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CTOS is currently trading at $10.04, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.47 to $11.08. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 36.3) compared to its historical average (63.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 17.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTOS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $9.29, while resistance sits at $10.94. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 9.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.50 (+14.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTOS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $9.29, while resistance sits at $10.94. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 9.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.50 (+14.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$9.47 -
$11.08
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
43.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CTOS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-9.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($11.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.47 -
$11.08
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.30
Resistance Level
$10.94
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 12, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
36.28
Wall Street Target
$11.50
(+14.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-26.5%
Profit Margin
-0.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-17.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
36.3 vs 63.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-17.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.04
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$8.13
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$7.32
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 36→64)
$12.83
(+28%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 36.3, Growth: 130.6%)
$33.88
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 130.6%)
$20.34
(+103%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 130.6%)
$17.29
(+72%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 36.3 to 63.6
Stabilization Target:
$17.60
(+75.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+75.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 5:12 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:12 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:12 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CTOS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced CTOS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CTOS price and gamma walls.
