Is CTOS stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, CTOS is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: CTOS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of CTOS stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for CTOS to be between $7.44 and $9.83. The current price is $9.84.

What is the analyst price target for CTOS?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for CTOS is $11.17. This implies a potential upside of 10.7% from current levels.

CTOS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CTOS - Custom Truck One Source, Inc.

SERVICES-EQUIPMENT RENTAL & LEASING, NEC

$9.84

-0.25 (-2.48%) ▼

5d: +1.44%

30d: +35.54%

90d: +35.54%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

Protect Your CTOS Gains

Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: May 12, 2026 0d

Smart Money Accumulation

CTOS is down 4.0% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $10 2026-06-18 with 3,008 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →

Strength: 7.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CTOS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$13.47

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$8.36

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CTOS is currently trading at $9.84, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.44 to $9.83. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 36.5) compared to its historical average (71.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 20.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CTOS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $9.46, while resistance sits at $10.22.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.17 (+10.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $7.44 - $9.83

Company Quality Score 60/100 (BUY)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 58.5%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($11.17)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $7.44 - $9.83

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Expected Move (7 Days) ±$0.65 (6.6%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $9.47

Resistance Level $10.22

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of May 15, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 36.47

Wall Street Target $11.17 (+10.7%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 9.3%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -26.5%

Profit Margin -0.9%

Valuation Discount vs History -20.1% cheaper

PE vs Historical 36.5 vs 71.4 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -20.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $9.08 (-10%)

2-Year Target $8.17 (-19%)

3-Year Target $7.36 (-27%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 36→71) $14.40 (+43%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 36.5, Growth: 130.6%) $34.05 (+238%)

Base: (SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 130.6%) $20.58 (+104%)

Bear: (PE: 18.7, Growth: 130.6%) $17.49 (+73%)

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 36.5 to 71.4

Stabilization Target: $19.76 (+95.8%)

PE Expansion Potential: +95.8%

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Last updated: May 15, 2026 4:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:18 PM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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Advanced CTOS Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CTOS price and gamma walls.

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