CVGW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CVGW - Calavo Growers Inc
$27.99
-0.53 (-1.86%)
▼
5d:
+2.27%
30d:
+6.02%
90d:
+12.18%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 28, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 08, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CVGW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CVGW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.96
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.23
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CVGW is currently trading at $27.99, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.80 to $28.03. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 18.4) compared to its historical average (15.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVGW is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $26.50, while resistance sits at $28.98.
Market Sentiment: CVGW has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVGW is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $26.50, while resistance sits at $28.98.
Market Sentiment: CVGW has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$25.80 -
$28.03
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($27.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.4% growth with -20.8% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$25.80 -
$28.03
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.50
Resistance Level
$28.98
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 28, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.41
Wall Street Target
$27.00
(-3.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-20.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-83.8%
Profit Margin
2.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.4% premium
PE vs Historical
18.4 vs 15.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.78
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$31.69
(+13%)
3-Year Target
$33.72
(+21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$28.01
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 7.8%)
$39.25
(+40%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.4, Growth: 7.8%)
$35.07
(+25%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.3, Growth: 7.8%)
$29.13
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.69 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.90
Bull Case
$52.98
(+89%)
Analyst growth 68.9%, PE expands to 34.9
Base Case
$48.17
(+72%)
Market implied 68.9%, PE stable at 31.7
Bear Case
$19.39
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 28, 2026 11:45 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:45 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:45 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CVGW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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