CWAN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CWAN - Clearwater Analytics Holdings, Inc.

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$24.35
-0.02 (-0.08%) ▼
5d: +0.0%
30d: +1.0%
90d: +5.18%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your CWAN Gains
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026 0d
Smart Money Accumulation

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Strength: 7.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CWAN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$0.83
Based on -29.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.51
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CWAN is currently trading at $24.35, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.03 to $24.29. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 93.7) is in line with its historical norms (97.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 202.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CWAN is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $24.16. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $24.03 - $24.29
Company Quality Score 60/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 46.2%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($24.47)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $24.03 - $24.29
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $24.16
Resistance Level $24.42
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of May 15, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 93.65
Wall Street Target $24.47 (+0.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 74.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 202.8%
Profit Margin -5.8%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 93.7 vs 97.9 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $23.98 (-2%)
2-Year Target $23.62 (-3%)
3-Year Target $23.27 (-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 94→98) $24.33 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 93.7, Growth: -63.0%) $17.75 (+-27%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: -63.0%) $4.18 (-83%)
Bear: (PE: 18.8, Growth: -63.0%) $3.56 (-85%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 93.7 to 97.9
Stabilization Target: $25.45 (+4.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +4.5%
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Last updated: May 16, 2026 9:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:21 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
James S Cox SELL 18700 shares 2026-04-15
Souvik Das SELL 10000 shares 2026-04-08
James S Cox SELL 21631 shares 2026-03-31

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Advanced CWAN Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CWAN price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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