CWAN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CWAN - Clearwater Analytics Holdings, Inc.

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$24.56
0.01 (0.04%) ▲
5d: +1.28%
30d: +0.99%
90d: +5.91%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

None View Scanner →

Strength: 4.5/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CWAN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$0.84
Based on -29.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.52
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CWAN is currently trading at $24.56, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.29 to $24.46. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 94.5) is in line with its historical norms (96.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 202.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CWAN is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $24.32. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: CWAN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $24.29 - $24.46
Company Quality Score 66/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 65.4%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($24.46)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $24.29 - $24.46
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$0.39 (1.6%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $24.32
Resistance Level $24.42
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Jun 10, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 94.46
Wall Street Target $24.46 (-0.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 74.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 202.8%
Profit Margin -5.8%
Valuation Discount vs History -0.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 94.5 vs 96.6 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -0.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $24.36 (-1%)
2-Year Target $24.17 (-2%)
3-Year Target $23.98 (-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 94→97) $24.52 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 94.5, Growth: -62.6%) $17.90 (+-27%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: -62.6%) $4.13 (-83%)
Bear: (PE: 18.5, Growth: -62.6%) $3.51 (-86%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 94.5 to 96.6
Stabilization Target: $25.12 (+2.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +2.3%
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Last updated: July 03, 2026 11:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:01 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
18
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
James S Cox SELL 18700 shares 2026-04-15
Souvik Das SELL 10000 shares 2026-04-08
James S Cox SELL 21631 shares 2026-03-31

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Advanced CWAN Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CWAN price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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