DCBO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DCBO - Docebo Inc. Common Shares
$16.36
-0.32 (-1.92%)
▼
5d:
-21.95%
30d:
+0.99%
90d:
-12.47%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 08, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: DCBO is down 21.9% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: DCBO is down 21.9% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.61
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.94
43.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DCBO is currently trading at $16.36, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.19 to $19.80. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.9) compared to its historical average (11.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 141.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DCBO is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $16.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.82 (+76.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DCBO is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $16.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.82 (+76.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$16.19 -
$19.80
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 76.2% below Wall St target ($28.82)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -21.9% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.19 -
$19.80
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.20
Resistance Level
$21.46
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.93
Wall Street Target
$28.82
(+76.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
141.7%
Profit Margin
13.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.9 vs 11.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.72
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$13.25
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$11.93
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→12)
$17.45
(+7%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 27.1%)
$93.30
(+470%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.9, Growth: 27.1%)
$33.56
(+105%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.7, Growth: 27.1%)
$28.53
(+74%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.17
Bull Case
$31.66
(+94%)
Analyst growth 76.4%, PE expands to 15.3
Base Case
$28.78
(+76%)
Market implied 76.4%, PE stable at 14.0
Bear Case
$11.10
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.9 to 11.6
Stabilization Target:
$23.94
(+46.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+46.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 9:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:39 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:39 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DCBO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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