ECG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ECG - Everus Construction Group, Inc.
$156.72
-4.42 (-2.74%)
▼
5d:
-3.99%
30d:
+23.87%
90d:
+49.03%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
ECG is down 4.0% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $170 2026-06-18 with 25 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 7.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ECG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ECG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$166.49
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$103.38
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ECG is currently trading at $156.72, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $128.08 to $157.58. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 32.1) compared to its historical average (25.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ECG is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $148.40, while resistance sits at $171.58.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ECG is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $148.40, while resistance sits at $171.58.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$128.08 -
$157.58
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($168.60)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 7.8% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$128.08 -
$157.58
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$12.15
(7.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$148.40
Resistance Level
$171.58
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
32.07
Wall Street Target
$168.60
(+7.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
25.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
58.7%
Profit Margin
5.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.8% premium
PE vs Historical
32.1 vs 25.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$168.94
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$182.12
(+16%)
3-Year Target
$196.33
(+25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 32→26)
PE COMPRESSION
$156.72
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 32.1, Growth: 8.8%)
$201.81
(+29%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 8.8%)
$138.88
(-11%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.8, Growth: 8.8%)
$118.05
(-25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (32x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 36.87 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.37
Bull Case
$198.21
(+27%)
Analyst growth 11.8%, PE expands to 40.6
Base Case
$180.19
(+15%)
Market implied 11.8%, PE stable at 36.9
Bear Case
$109.58
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 2:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:35 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is ECG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Helena Mercedes Hernandez
BUY
250 shares
2025-12-08
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Advanced ECG Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ECG price and gamma walls.
