EXPO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EXPO - Exponent Inc
$57.35
3.56 (6.62%)
▲
5d:
-4.67%
30d:
-15.72%
90d:
-16.55%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: EXPO trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -11.4% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: EXPO trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -11.4% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$100.75
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$62.56
8.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EXPO is currently trading at $57.35, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $59.54 to $68.67. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.5) compared to its historical average (28.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 13.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXPO is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $51.91, while resistance sits at $66.61. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $86.67 (+61.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXPO is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $51.91, while resistance sits at $66.61. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $86.67 (+61.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$59.54 -
$68.67
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+6.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 61.1% below Wall St target ($86.67)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$59.54 -
$68.67
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$51.91
Resistance Level
$66.61
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.49
Wall Street Target
$86.67
(+61.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
13.5%
Profit Margin
19.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.5 vs 28.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$48.41
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$43.57
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$39.21
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→28)
$56.34
(+5%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 11.8%)
$85.11
(+58%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.5, Growth: 11.8%)
$75.16
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.6, Growth: 11.8%)
$63.88
(+19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.14
Bull Case
$76.14
(+42%)
Analyst growth 29.0%, PE expands to 27.6
Base Case
$69.22
(+29%)
Market implied 29.0%, PE stable at 25.1
Bear Case
$36.50
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.5 to 28.0
Stabilization Target:
$77.28
(+43.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+43.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 4:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:21 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:21 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EXPO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Catherine Corrigan
SELL
3909 shares
2026-04-15
Catherine Corrigan
SELL
3912 shares
2026-03-16
Catherine Corrigan
SELL
3920 shares
2026-02-17
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