EXTR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EXTR - Extreme Networks
$24.71
1.94 (8.52%)
▲
5d:
+5.06%
30d:
+42.42%
90d:
+74.75%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
EXTR is down 3.3% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $25 2026-06-18 with 1,766 OI. Call ratio: 71% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: EXTR is 8.5% above its trading range ($22.77). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: EXTR is 8.5% above its trading range ($22.77). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$34.73
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.56
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EXTR is currently trading at $24.71, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.74 to $22.77. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 19.0) compared to its historical average (13.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 11.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXTR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $24.51. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 8.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: EXTR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXTR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $24.51. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 8.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: EXTR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$16.74 -
$22.77
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
EXTR is technically overbought (RSI 74). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+8.5% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+8.5%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($26.06)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 11.6% growth expectation is conservative given 206% recent growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.74 -
$22.77
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.70
Resistance Level
$24.51
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.98
Wall Street Target
$26.06
(+5.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
206.4%
Profit Margin
1.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+11.6% premium
PE vs Historical
19.0 vs 13.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+11.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.58
(+12%)
2-Year Target
$30.78
(+25%)
3-Year Target
$34.35
(+39%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$24.79
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 26.1%)
$57.49
(+133%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.0, Growth: 26.1%)
$49.51
(+100%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.7, Growth: 26.1%)
$35.74
(+45%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 17.79 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.39
Bull Case
$29.84
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 18.7
Base Case
$24.71
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 17.8
Bear Case
$18.90
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 16.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 2:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:55 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:55 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EXTR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Edward Meyercord
SELL
50000 shares
2026-04-01
Edward Meyercord
SELL
50000 shares
2026-02-02
Edward Meyercord
SELL
50000 shares
2026-01-02
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