FER Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FER - Ferrovial SE Ordinary Shares
$67.72
0.46 (0.68%)
▲
5d:
-3.53%
30d:
+2.08%
90d:
+1.04%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 01, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FER shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FER shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$49.57
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.78
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FER is currently trading at $67.72, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $66.47 to $69.54. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 52.5) is in line with its historical norms (54.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FER is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $69.59. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $76.70 (+13.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FER is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $69.59. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $76.70 (+13.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$66.47 -
$69.54
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($76.70)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$66.47 -
$69.54
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$65.00
Resistance Level
$69.59
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
52.53
Wall Street Target
$76.70
(+13.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-87.6%
Profit Margin
9.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
52.5 vs 54.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$66.77
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$65.84
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$64.92
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 53→55)
$67.72
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 52.5, Growth: 14.1%)
$100.67
(+49%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 14.1%)
$41.74
(-38%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 14.1%)
$35.48
(-48%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 49.46 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.36
Bull Case
$70.13
(+4%)
Analyst growth -5.2%, PE expands to 54.4
Base Case
$63.76
(-6%)
Market implied -5.2%, PE stable at 49.5
Bear Case
$45.74
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 42.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 52.5 to 54.8
Stabilization Target:
$70.65
(+4.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 4:09 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:09 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:09 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FER showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FER price and gamma walls.
