FLR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FLR - Fluor Corporation
$44.35
-0.01 (-0.02%)
▼
5d:
+1.51%
30d:
-8.67%
90d:
-8.69%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 08, 2026
0d
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1 traders called FLR this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FLR appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -6.8% annual earnings decline despite 1427% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FLR appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -6.8% annual earnings decline despite 1427% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$106.61
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$66.20
33.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FLR is currently trading at $44.35, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $45.58 to $51.78. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.4) compared to its historical average (16.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1426.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FLR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $42.62, while resistance sits at $54.65.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $50.69 (+14.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FLR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $42.62, while resistance sits at $54.65.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $50.69 (+14.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$45.58 -
$51.78
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($50.69)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$45.58 -
$51.78
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$42.62
Resistance Level
$54.65
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.45
Wall Street Target
$50.69
(+14.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1426.8%
Profit Margin
2.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.5 vs 16.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$41.33
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$38.52
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$35.90
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→17)
$44.32
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 28.0%)
$152.85
(+245%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.4, Growth: 28.0%)
$93.00
(+110%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.4, Growth: 28.0%)
$79.05
(+78%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.26 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.19
Bull Case
$73.49
(+66%)
Analyst growth 50.6%, PE expands to 22.3
Base Case
$66.81
(+51%)
Market implied 50.6%, PE stable at 20.3
Bear Case
$30.16
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.4 to 16.6
Stabilization Target:
$54.75
(+23.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+23.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 7:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:22 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:22 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FLR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Anthony Morgan
SELL
3387 shares
2026-02-23
Michael E Alexander
SELL
3387 shares
2026-02-23
Kevin B Hammonds
SELL
2988 shares
2026-02-20
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