GHC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GHC - GRAHAM HOLDINGS COMPANY
$1108.65
-3.42 (-0.31%)
▼
5d:
-1.98%
30d:
-1.48%
90d:
+3.05%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GHC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GHC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$396.84
Based on -16.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$246.41
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GHC is currently trading at $1108.65, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1099.02 to $1148.78. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.8) is in line with its historical norms (16.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GHC is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $1094.54. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GHC is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $1094.54. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$1099.02 -
$1148.78
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($1040.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$1099.02 -
$1148.78
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$1094.54
Resistance Level
$1164.42
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.80
Wall Street Target
$1040.00
(-6.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
21.4%
Profit Margin
6.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
16.8 vs 16.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$1116.41
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$1124.23
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$1132.10
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$1105.29
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: -37.7%)
$1438.23
(+30%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.8, Growth: -37.7%)
$1096.15
(-1%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.3, Growth: -37.7%)
$931.72
(-16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 16.45 | Current EPS (TTM): $67.61
Bull Case
$1194.15
(+8%)
Analyst growth -2.4%, PE expands to 18.1
Base Case
$1085.59
(-2%)
Market implied -2.4%, PE stable at 16.5
Bear Case
$756.21
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 6:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:57 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GHC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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