GLDD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GLDD - Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation
$17.00
0.03 (0.18%)
▲
5d:
+0.18%
30d:
+0.53%
90d:
+29.38%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GLDD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GLDD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.99
Based on 8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.51
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GLDD is currently trading at $17.00, which is considered fair based on recent price action. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.4) is in line with its historical norms (13.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GLDD is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $16.93. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GLDD is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $16.93. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
UNKNOWN
Confidence Score
66.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($17.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.4% growth with 26.5% revenue growth
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.93
Resistance Level
$17.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.42
Wall Street Target
$17.00
Revenue Growth (YoY)
26.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-37.9%
Profit Margin
8.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
13.4 vs 13.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.07
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$17.14
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$17.20
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$17.04
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 12.5%)
$40.24
(+137%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.4, Growth: 12.5%)
$24.17
(+42%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.4, Growth: 12.5%)
$20.55
(+21%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 10:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:51 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:51 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GLDD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David Johanson
SELL
2100 shares
2025-12-10
David Johanson
SELL
10000 shares
2025-12-03
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